Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
