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Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2021 at 7pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
PZ

Willem II
1 - 3
PEC Zwolle

Okyere Wriedt (10')
Selahi (41')
Okyere Wriedt (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ghoochannejhad (58', 62', 70' pen.)
Kersten (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawPEC Zwolle
32.19%24.9%42.92%
Both teams to score 57.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91%46.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61%68.39%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28%62.73%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Score Analysis
    Willem II 32.19%
    PEC Zwolle 42.92%
    Draw 24.89%
Willem IIDrawPEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-1 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.92%

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