Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
