Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
