Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
