Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
