Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.