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Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 22, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
WL

Sittard
2 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Polter (45'), Semedo (90+2')
Seuntjens (9'), Janssen (56'), Semedo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stokkers (15')
Lamprou (45+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawRKC Waalwijk
49.5%23.34%27.16%
Both teams to score 59.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2%41.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79%64.2%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95%17.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.79%47.21%
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47%28.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68%64.32%
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 49.5%
    RKC Waalwijk 27.16%
    Draw 23.34%
Fortuna SittardDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 27.16%

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