Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 66.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitesse in this match.
