Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.