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Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
HA

FC Twente
1 - 0
Heracles

Hilgers (5')
van Wolfswinkel (63'), Sadilek (63'), Rots (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierhuis (63'), Quagliata (90+1'), de la Torre (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Twente in this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawHeracles
41.8%25.98%32.22%
Both teams to score 53.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23%50.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94%24.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66%58.34%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4%65.6%
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 41.79%
    Heracles 32.22%
    Draw 25.98%
FC TwenteDrawHeracles
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.79%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.22%

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