SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
| 38.34% | 25.6% | 36.06% |
| Both teams to score 55.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% | 48.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% | 70.58% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% | 24.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.59% | 59.4% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% | 26.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.86% | 61.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.06% |
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