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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 at 3.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
FS

PSV
2 - 0
Sittard

Malen (5'), Madueke (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seuntjens (42')
Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.01%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
80.57%13.2%6.23%
Both teams to score 41.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.35%37.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.11%59.89%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72%7.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64%26.36%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.96%55.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.09%87.91%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 80.55%
    Fortuna Sittard 6.23%
    Draw 13.2%
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 13.75%
3-0 @ 12.01%
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 8.22%
4-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 7.18%
4-1 @ 4.7%
5-0 @ 4.13%
5-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.14%
6-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.4%
6-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 80.55%
1-1 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.01%
2-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 13.2%
0-1 @ 2.39%
1-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 6.23%


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