Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
