Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.