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HA
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
G

Heracles
1 - 0
Groningen

Burgzorg (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

da Cruz (46')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawGroningen
48.55%24.06%27.4%
Both teams to score 57.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79%67.22%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42%18.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14%49.86%
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94%66.06%
Score Analysis
    Heracles 48.55%
    Groningen 27.4%
    Draw 24.05%
HeraclesDrawGroningen
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.55%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 5.73%
0-0 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 27.4%

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