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Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Dec 4, 2020 at 7pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
E

Sparta
2 - 1
Emmen

Duarte (22'), Harroui (58')
Gravenberch (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Araujo (52')
Pena (5'), Jansen (6'), Ben Moussa (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
68.9%18.1%13%
Both teams to score 52.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24%38.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93%61.06%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.79%10.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.49%33.5%
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59%41.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08%77.91%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 68.89%
    Emmen 13%
    Draw 18.1%
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
2-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 4.78%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.26%
5-0 @ 2.18%
5-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 68.89%
1-1 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.28%
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.1%
1-2 @ 3.75%
0-1 @ 3.73%
0-2 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13%

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