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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
G

Willem II
2 - 1
Groningen

Okyere Wriedt (5'), Saddiki (24')
Saddiki (7'), Llonch (54'), Okyere Wriedt (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Suslov (61')
van Hintum (19'), Ngonge (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawGroningen
42.82%25.6%31.59%
Both teams to score 54.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.63%49.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58%71.42%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27%56.73%
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7%29.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73%65.26%
Score Analysis
    Willem II 42.82%
    Groningen 31.59%
    Draw 25.59%
Willem IIDrawGroningen
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.25%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.59%

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