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Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 16, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
FS

Willem II
2 - 1
Sittard

Pavlidis (45'), Holmen (67')
Llonch (39'), Pavlidis (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flemming (48')
Flemming (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Willem IIDrawFortuna Sittard
34.37%25.29%40.33%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71%47.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49%69.51%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48%26.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28%61.72%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81%57.18%
Score Analysis
    Willem II 34.37%
    Fortuna Sittard 40.33%
    Draw 25.29%
Willem IIDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.37%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.33%

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