Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
