Willem II
0 - 1
NEC

Jenssen (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mattsson (38')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

NEC appear to have steadied their ship after struggling for form in recent weeks. They head into the game with more momentum after picking up a second straight win last time out and we predict they will claim all three points, heaping more misery on the floundering hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	NEC
39.85%	25.24%	34.91%

Both teams to score 56.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04%

46.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79%

69.21%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64%

23.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67%

57.33%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95%

26.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.91%

61.09%

Score Analysis

Willem II 39.85%

NEC 34.91%

Draw 25.24%

Willem II	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.85%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.19% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.91%