Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 55.22%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Qarabag FK
55.22%	21.66%	23.11%

Both teams to score 60.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.19%

37.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.94%

60.06%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31%

13.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.09%

40.9%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45%

65.55%

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 55.22%

Qarabag FK 23.11%

Draw 21.66%

Aberdeen	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.46% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.66%	1-2 @ 5.98% 0-1 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.13% Total : 23.11%