Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aktobe win with a probability of 43.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sepsi had a probability of 28.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aktobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Sepsi win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
0.67) 
-0.74) 
