SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aktobe win with a probability of 43.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sepsi had a probability of 28.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aktobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Sepsi win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aktobe | Draw | Sepsi |
43.59% ( 0.67) | 28.27% ( 0.07) | 28.14% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.16% ( -0.53) | 60.84% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.12% ( -0.4) | 80.88% ( 0.4) |
| Aktobe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( 0.11) | 27.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.69% ( 0.13) | 63.31% ( -0.13) |
| Sepsi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( -0.89) | 37.87% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.36% ( -0.87) | 74.64% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aktobe | Draw | Sepsi |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.14% |
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