Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni
Arabidze (89')
Bugridze (45+3'), Gigauri (45+2'), Arabidze (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kassym (34' pen.), Raickovic (43'),
Samorodov (73'), Filipovic (90+3')
Samorodov (45+3'), Yashin (45+3'), Tanzharikov (47'), Raickovic (81')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Torpedo Kutaisi and Aktobe.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aktobe win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Torpedo Kutaisi had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aktobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Torpedo Kutaisi win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aktobe would win this match.
| Result |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | Draw | Aktobe |
31.86% ( -0.01) | 26.57% ( -0) | 41.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.01) |
| 46.71% ( 0.01) | 53.29% ( -0.01) |
| 25.16% ( 0.01) | 74.84% ( -0.01) |
| 68.92% | 31.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.59% ( 0) | 67.4% |
| 74.7% ( 0.01) | 25.3% ( -0.01) |
