Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stadion Nairi
Yedigaryan (25')
Diaz (40'), Fofana (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Alashkert FC and Hamrun Spartans.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alashkert FC in this match.
| Result |
| Alashkert FC | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
37.9% ( -0) | 28.81% ( -0.02) | 33.29% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( 0.05) |
| 38.69% ( 0.06) | 61.31% ( -0.06) |
| 18.77% ( 0.04) | 81.23% ( -0.05) |
| 68.78% ( 0.03) | 31.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0.03) | 67.57% ( -0.03) |
| 65.76% ( 0.04) | 34.24% ( -0.04) |
