Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alashkert FC in this match.

Result
Alashkert FC	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
37.9% ( -0)	28.81% ( -0.02)	33.29% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.69% (

0.06)

61.31% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

0.04)

81.23% (

-0.05)

Alashkert FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

0.03)

31.22% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

0.03)

67.57% (

-0.03)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

0.04)

34.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

0.04)

70.94% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Alashkert FC 37.89%

Hamrun Spartans 33.28%

Draw 28.8%

Alashkert FC	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.89%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.28%