Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 7pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Alashkert FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.
| Result |
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Alashkert FC |
47.46% ( -0) | 25.61% ( -0.02) | 26.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.08) |
| 48.22% ( 0.09) | 51.77% ( -0.1) |
| 26.46% ( 0.08) | 73.54% ( -0.09) |
| 78.18% ( 0.03) | 21.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.96% ( 0.06) | 55.03% ( -0.06) |
| 66.05% ( 0.07) | 33.95% ( -0.07) |
