Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Botev Plovdiv win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that APOEL would win this match.
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