Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botev Plovdiv win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for APOEL had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botev Plovdiv win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest APOEL win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.