SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutjeska Niksic win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutjeska Niksic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest FC Santa Coloma win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutjeska Niksic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutjeska Niksic | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
44.86% ( 27.55) | 26.75% ( 4.93) | 28.4% ( -32.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.65% ( -8.62) | 55.35% ( 8.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.45% ( -7.57) | 76.56% ( 7.57) |
| Sutjeska Niksic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 15.94) | 24.57% ( -15.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( 18.05) | 59.05% ( -18.06) |
| FC Santa Coloma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( -19.81) | 34.69% ( 19.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( -28.19) | 71.41% ( 28.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutjeska Niksic | Draw | FC Santa Coloma |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 6.52) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 4.2)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 5.94)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 2.75)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3.19)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.86)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 1.14)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 1.21)Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.86% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 2.29) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 2.5)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -2.46) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -3.18)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -6.15)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -3.91)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -5.26)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -1.18)Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.4% |
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