SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Balzan had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Balzan win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Balzan |
48.01% ( 0) | 26.11% | 25.87% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% ( 0) | 54.42% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.01) | 75.79% ( -0) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.01) | 22.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% ( 0.01) | 56.33% ( -0) |
| Balzan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0) | 36.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( 0) | 73.03% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Balzan |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.87% |
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