Despite their first-leg defeat, Celtic will be hungry for success on Thursday and will be the favourites to win the second leg. However, Bodo/Glimt are set to take a more cautious approach on home soil and may just do enough to progress to the last 16 on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 3-2 (4.8%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Celtic
43.34%	21.26%	35.39%

Both teams to score 71.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.74%

27.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.18%

47.82%

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.32%

13.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.1%

40.9%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27%

16.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36%

46.64%

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 43.34%

Celtic 35.39%

Draw 21.26%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 4.8% 1-0 @ 4.55% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-3 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.02% Total : 43.34%	1-1 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 7.24% 3-3 @ 2.86% 0-0 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.26%	1-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 4.31% 0-1 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.93% 3-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.41% Total : 35.39%