Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 70.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 9.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.48%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.84%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
