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Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Brøndby Stadion

Brondby
4 - 0
Szczecin

Hedlund (17' pen., 33'), Kvistgaarden (52'), Divkovic (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Drygas (12'), Grosicki (29'), Kowalczyk (56')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Brondby and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brondby 1-3 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Szczecin 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, July 21 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brondby win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brondby win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brondby would win this match.

Result
BrondbyDrawPogon Szczecin
50.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)48.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brondby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)70.32% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brondby 50.57%
    Pogon Szczecin 25.01%
    Draw 24.42%
BrondbyDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 50.57%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 25.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brondby 1-3 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Szczecin 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, July 21 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brondby 1-0 Aarhus
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 1-1 Viborg (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5.30pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 2-1 Silkeborg
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 1-3 Brondby
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Szczecin 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, July 21 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KR Reykjavik 1-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 14 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 4-1 KR Reykjavik
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 0-0 Osijek
Thursday, July 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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