Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Drygas (7', 56'),
Zahovic (16'), Bartkowski (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kristofer Larusson (71')
Kristofer Larusson (80')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Pogon Szczecin and KR Reykjavik.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for KR Reykjavik had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest KR Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | KR Reykjavik |
45.11% ( 0) | 23.53% ( 0.01) | 31.36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.52% ( -0.03) |
| 59.89% ( -0.03) | 40.11% ( 0.03) |
| 37.52% ( -0.04) | 62.48% ( 0.03) |
| 81.9% ( -0.01) | 18.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.96% ( -0.02) | 49.03% ( 0.02) |
| 75.11% ( -0.02) | 24.88% ( 0.02) |
