SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dila win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dila win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dila would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dila | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 39.3% | 26.85% | 33.85% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.01% ( 0) | 53.99% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.57% ( 0) | 75.43% ( -0) |
| Dila Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% | 26.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( 0) | 62.15% ( -0) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% | 30.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( 0) | 66.25% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dila | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.85% |
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