Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
18.28% (![]() | 20.09% (![]() | 61.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.77% (![]() | 37.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.57% (![]() | 59.43% (![]() |
Vorskla Poltava Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% (![]() | 33.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.62% (![]() | 70.38% (![]() |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% (![]() | 11.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% (![]() | 36.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
2-1 @ 4.99% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 9.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 9.87% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 4.31% Total : 61.63% |
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