Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.