Consistently unpredictable, just when Fiorentina seem to be building momentum they often shoot themselves in the foot. Recent results have shown that the Viola remain a law unto themselves, so Vincenzo Italiano's men may have to take the long route into the group stage - extra time and spot-kicks could even be required to edge out a spirited Rapid Vienna side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
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