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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
FL

Sassuolo
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-1 Fiorentina

Sassuolo will be looking to take advantage of the fact that Fiorentina will have their eyes elsewhere, but it is difficult to back the hosts at the moment due to their recent struggles. We are expecting the points to be shared on Friday, which both managers would likely accept if it were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
23.01% (-0.25 -0.25) 23.12% (-0.172 -0.17) 53.88% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 55.64% (0.264 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.496 0.5)44.6% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (0.47799999999999 0.48)66.97% (-0.479 -0.48)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (0.052999999999997 0.05)33.37% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.058 0.06)70% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.33 0.33)16.49% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (0.591 0.59)46.22% (-0.592 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 23.01%
    Fiorentina 53.88%
    Draw 23.11%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 6.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.97% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.01%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.11%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.89% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.37% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.66% (0.064 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.42% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.037 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Monza
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
Monday, May 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Sassuolo
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma
Saturday, May 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Udinese
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Basel
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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