Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Gzira United had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Gzira United win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.