Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 2-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
0.44) 
-0.57) 
