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Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
PGE Arena Gdansk

Gdansk
4 - 1
Akademija Pandev

Paixao (17', 39', 66'), Zwolinski (25')
Gajos (73'), Nalepa (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Jokovic (81')
Jokovic (12'), Iliev (25'), Mitrovski (61')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Lechia Gdansk and Akademija Pandev.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Brondby 4-1 Gdansk
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
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Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Akademija Pandev had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Akademija Pandev win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawAkademija Pandev
39.61% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 24.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 35.74% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.010000000000005 0.01)22.23% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)55.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Akademija Pandev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 39.61%
    Akademija Pandev 35.74%
    Draw 24.65%
Lechia GdanskDrawAkademija Pandev
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 35.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brondby 4-1 Gdansk
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Gdansk 2-1 Brondby
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Gdansk 2-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Akademija Pandev 0-3 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying


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