Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stadion Blagoj Istatov (Strumica)
Mitrovski (59')
Donov (35'), Mitrovski (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Akademija Pandev and Lechia Gdansk.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Akademija Pandev had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Akademija Pandev win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.
| Result |
| Akademija Pandev | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
35.18% ( 0.01) | 26.41% ( -0.01) | 38.42% |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.03) |
| 48.02% ( 0.05) | 51.98% ( -0.04) |
| 26.28% ( 0.04) | 73.72% ( -0.04) |
| 71.72% ( 0.03) | 28.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36% ( 0.04) | 64.01% ( -0.03) |
| 73.6% ( 0.02) | 26.4% ( -0.02) |
