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Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stadion Blagoj Istatov (Strumica)

Akademija Pandev
1 - 2
Gdansk

Mitrovski (59')
Donov (35'), Mitrovski (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gajos (37'), Pietrzak (82')
Durmus (52')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Akademija Pandev and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Gdansk 4-1 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 7 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Gdansk 4-1 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 7 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Akademija Pandev had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Akademija Pandev win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.

Result
Akademija PandevDrawLechia Gdansk
35.18% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 26.41% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 38.42%
Both teams to score 52.78% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.041 0.04)73.72% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Akademija Pandev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)28.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (0.036999999999999 0.04)64.01% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.02300000000001 0.02)26.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.029000000000003 0.03)61.56% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Akademija Pandev 35.18%
    Lechia Gdansk 38.42%
    Draw 26.4%
Akademija PandevDrawLechia Gdansk
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gdansk 4-1 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 7 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Akademija Pandev 0-3 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Gdansk 4-1 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 7 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brondby 4-1 Gdansk
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Gdansk 2-1 Brondby
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Gdansk 2-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Pre-Season Friendlies


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