Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Shakhtyor Karaganda had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Karaganda win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
