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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 25, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
1 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Moraes (67' pen.)
Vitao (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
40.48%25.6%33.91%
Both teams to score 55.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.26%48.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15%70.84%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37%63%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 40.48%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 33.91%
    Draw 25.6%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.48%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.46%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.91%

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