SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Ruzomberok win with a probability of 45%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Ruzomberok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MFK Ruzomberok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MFK Ruzomberok | Draw | Kauno Zalgiris |
45% ( -0) | 22.51% ( -0) | 32.48% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.01) | 34.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.45% ( 0.01) | 56.55% ( -0.01) |
| MFK Ruzomberok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( 0) | 15.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( 0) | 45.28% ( -0) |
| Kauno Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( 0.01) | 21.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( 0.01) | 54.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| MFK Ruzomberok | Draw | Kauno Zalgiris |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.92% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 32.48% |
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