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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Adidas Arena

Mlada Boleslav
1 - 1
H. Be'er Sheva

Vydra (39' pen.)
Masek (14'), Kostka (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yosefi (50')
Turgeman (36'), Lopes (90+1'), Shushenachev (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Mlada Boleslav and Hapoel Be'er Sheva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cherno More 1-2 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mlada Boleslav win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mlada Boleslav win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Mlada BoleslavDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
38.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)45.8% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)68.11% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Mlada Boleslav Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)57.62% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (0.025999999999996 0.03)59.09% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mlada Boleslav 38.45%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 36.52%
    Draw 25.02%
Mlada BoleslavDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 36.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hradec Kralove 2-1 Mlada Boleslav
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Mlada Boleslav
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 3-0 Slovacko
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Jablonec 2-0 Mlada Boleslav
Saturday, July 20 at 1.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 3-1 Hradec Kralove
Friday, May 31 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Cherno More 1-2 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: H. Be'er Sheva 0-0 Cherno More
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bnei Sakhnin 4-1 H. Be'er Sheva
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: H. Be'er Sheva 1-4 M. Haifa
Tuesday, May 21 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 3-0 H. Be'er Sheva
Saturday, May 18 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: H. Be'er Sheva 2-1 M. Bnei Raina
Thursday, May 9 at 5.30pm in Israeli Premier League


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