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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion SRC Topolica

Mornar
2 - 2
Paksi SE

Lenzser (18' og.), Zoric (60')
Kaludjerovic (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Windecker (14' pen.), Zoric (86' og.)
Lenzser (44'), Windecker (88')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Mornar and Paksi SE.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Mornar
Wednesday, August 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 Paksi SE
Saturday, August 10 at 6.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Mornar win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
MornarDrawPaksi SE
25.03% (0.247 0.25) 25.22% (-0.044 -0.04) 49.74% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.18% (0.37 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.36799999999999 0.37)51.57% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.32 0.32)73.36% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Mornar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (0.417 0.42)35.42% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (0.431 0.43)72.18% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.060000000000002 0.06)20.75% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Mornar 25.03%
    Paksi SE 49.74%
    Draw 25.22%
MornarDrawPaksi SE
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 25.03%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 9.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Mornar
Wednesday, August 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Radnicki (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radnicki 1-0 Mornar
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Mornar
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 Paksi SE
Saturday, August 10 at 6.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Mornar
Wednesday, August 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paksi SE 2-1 Ujpest
Sunday, August 4 at 5.50pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 Paksi SE
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Diosgyor 2-2 Paksi SE
Sunday, July 28 at 5.50pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Larnaca
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League


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