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Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Dinamo Tbilisi
1 - 1
Mornar

Salia (33'), Iobashvili (70')
Simon (37'), Lominadze (83')
Ugrekhelidze (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zoric (57')
Dubljevic (34'), Zoric (58'), Vusurovic (90+8'), Popovic (90+9')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Dinamo Tbilisi and Mornar.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo TbilisiDrawMornar
58.05% (0.145 0.15) 23.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 18.23% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 46.69% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07% (-0.194 -0.19)52.92% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.167 -0.17)74.53% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Dinamo Tbilisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.87% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Mornar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.288 -0.29)43.05% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.244 -0.24)79.33% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Tbilisi 58.04%
    Mornar 18.23%
    Draw 23.71%
Dinamo TbilisiDrawMornar
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.04%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.23%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Astana
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Astana 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Wednesday, July 12 at 3pm in Champions League
Last Game: Paide 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League


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