Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.