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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Stožice
S

Ljubljana
2 - 0
Sepsi

Sepsi win 3-2 on penalties
Kvesic (61'), Krefl (70')
Sualehe (39'), Krefl (89'), Nukic (120')
FT
(aet)
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Sepsi.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sepsi 3-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Sepsi 3-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Sepsi had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sepsi win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawSepsi
43.05% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 30.68% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.49% (0.066000000000003 0.07)52.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82% (0.058 0.06)74.18% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.21% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (-0.064 -0.06)58.54% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Sepsi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.14200000000001 0.14)31.51% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (0.165 0.16)67.9% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 43.04%
    Sepsi 30.68%
    Draw 26.27%
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawSepsi
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 43.04%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sepsi 3-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ljubljana 1-1 Differdange
Thursday, July 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-1 Santa Clara
Thursday, August 12 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Ljubljana
Thursday, August 5 at 9.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Birkirkara 1-0 Ljubljana (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sepsi 3-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sepsi 1-1 Spartak Trnava (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-0 Sepsi
Thursday, July 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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